Tag Archives: Polls

Are Pollsters Asking the Wrong Question?

Here’s an interesting new take on election polling from Justin Wolfers In a recent academic research paper,  David Rothschild and I examined the results of a different kind of poll, one that asks instead: “Who do you think will win?” We find convincing evidence … Continue reading

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Obama’s Electoral Cushion

Based on a literal interpretation of recent state polls from realclearpolitics, Obama would win the election with 294 electoral votes. His lead could sustain a ~3-4 point across the board hit. Add this to the growing list of reasons why Eurozone … Continue reading

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