Tag Archives: Housing Finance

The Causes and Consequences of House Price Momentum

From Adam Guren: House price changes are positively autocorrelated over two to three years, a phenomenon known as momentum. This paper introduces, empirically grounds, and quantitatively analyzes an amplification mechanism that can generate substantial momentum from small frictions and demonstrates that the … Continue reading

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Arrested Development: Theory and Evidence of Supply-Side Speculation in the Housing Market

From Nathanson and Zwick: This paper incorporates speculation into the standard supply-and-demand framework used to analyze housing booms and busts. Speculation reverses the common intuition that elastic housing supply attenuates housing booms. Housing market frictions make land a more attractive … Continue reading

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Housing Collateral and Entrepreneurship

From Martin Schmalz, David Sraer, and David Thesmar: This paper shows that collateral constraints restrict entrepreneurial activity. Our empirical strategy uses variations in local house prices as shocks to the value of col- lateral available to individuals owning a house and … Continue reading

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Household Debt and the Dynamic Effects of Income Tax Changes

From James Cloyne and Paolo Surico: This paper investigates a new channel in the transmission of fiscal policy: household debt. Using a long span of expenditure survey data and a new narrative measure of exogenous income tax changes for the UK, … Continue reading

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Heterogeneity in the MPC: Evidence from the Crisis

We find evidence supportive of heterogeneity in the MPC by household income and leverage. For example, the MPC for households living in zip codes with an average annual income of less than $35 thousand is three times as large as … Continue reading

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Incidence and Price Discrimination: Evidence from Housing Vouchers

From Robert Collinson and Peter Ganong: What is the incidence of housing vouchers? In a frictionless, price-taking equilibrium, increased generosity of a narrowly-targeted subsidy causes in- creases in unit quality. However, search frictions may limit quality improve- ments and subsidies may … Continue reading

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Will Housing Save the U.S. Economy? by Amir Sufi

Sufi has a short paper on this issue that is worth reading. My bottom line is that we need to temper our optimism on what  a housing recovery can do for the U.S. economy. I agree that house prices will continue … Continue reading

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