Tag Archives: Great Recession

Links: Deficits, Fiscal Policy in a Depressed Economy, Finance, & Moneyball for Judges

Moneyball for Judges by Cass Sunstein Dylan Matthews on Deficits (and Krugman follow up) Fiscal Policy in a Depressed Economy: Further Thoughts from Brad Delong Solow on American Finance (or Mark Thoma’s summary)

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Labs of Democracy & Today’s Fiscal Policy Debates

Here’s my latest Economix column on the labs of democracy & today’s fiscal policy debates on uncertainty, spending, and spending vs taxes: Many of the fiercest disagreements about fiscal policy today stem from disagreements about the causes of the slow … Continue reading

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The Obama Public Works Plan

There are three elements of this plan according to the NYTimes: 1. The first element of the plan is a “fix it first” policy that calls for investing $50 billion in transportation infrastructure, subject to Congressional approval. Fully $40 billion of … Continue reading

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Tax Cuts for Whom? Do tax changes for high income taxpayers generate more growth than similarly sized tax changes for lower income taxpayers?

        This figure, which is from a recently revised and submitted paper of mine, shows how the multiplier varies across the income distribution. It shows that equivalently sized tax changes for lower income groups have larger macroeconomic impacts on … Continue reading

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A Painfully Slow Recovery for America’s Workers: Causes, Implications, and the Federal Reserve’s Response

A new speech from Janet Yellen is worth reading. Here are some figures from the speech on the slow response relative to other recessions and the contribution of fiscal support (or lack thereof) for this recession. Premature fiscal contraction is … Continue reading

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4 Ways Persistently High Unemployment Could Ossify – the Human Capital Channel

Brad Plumer has a post today on rough projections that we will not reach full employment until 2022. Here are four ways that failing to address the unemployment problem today could lead to long-lasting (and potentially permanent) reductions in human capital, employment, and social … Continue reading

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US Household Debt has Fallen by $833 billion since 2008

US Household Debt has Fallen by $833 billion since 2008 according to McKinsey. The decline is largely through defaults. HT: Susan Lund

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Historical Hysteresis: Adverse Shocks vs Structural Problems

I started posting last week on the Summers & Blanchard paper, which is on hysteresis and the Unemployment problem in Europe starting in the mid 1970s. Many advocated structural explanations for hysteresis, but Summers & Blanchard looked to the Great Depression period … Continue reading

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Hysteresis & the Unemployment Problem

Summers and Blanchard have a paper on Hysteresis in Europe in the 1980s in which they discuss three main potential causes of hysteresis, which is a very high dependence of current employment on past unemployment. The three causes are (1) physical … Continue reading

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When are the Effects of Fiscal Policy Uncertainty Large?

Benjamin Johannsen, a job market candidate from Northwestern, weighs in: ABSTRACT: I argue that fiscal policy uncertainty can have large and adverse effects when the monetary authority is constrained by the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates. Using a new-Keynesian … Continue reading

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