Tag Archives: electoral college

How the Electoral College Influences Campaigns and Policy

Here’s a cool paper that “analyzes how US presidential candidates should allocate resources across states to maximize the probability of winning the election, by developing and estimating a probabilistic-voting model of political competition under the Electoral College system.” Actual campaigns act in close … Continue reading

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Electoral Vote Forecast from Votamatic

A friend told me about this site today – looks pretty interesting (and roughly consistent with 538).

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Obama’s Electoral Cushion

Based on a literal interpretation of recent state polls from realclearpolitics, Obama would win the election with 294 electoral votes. His lead could sustain a ~3-4 point across the board hit. Add this to the growing list of reasons why Eurozone … Continue reading

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